Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003085 0.003322 0.003580 0.003887 0.004243 0.004649 0.005153
2024-12-15 0.002718 0.003029 0.003391 0.003854 0.004443 0.005188 0.006241
2024-12-22 0.002539 0.002907 0.003360 0.003978 0.004830 0.006031 0.007994
2024-12-29 0.002395 0.002801 0.003321 0.004069 0.005182 0.006914 0.010235
2025-01-05 0.002224 0.002637 0.003180 0.003991 0.005260 0.007398 0.012092
2025-01-12 0.002061 0.002465 0.003007 0.003837 0.005184 0.007590 0.013499
2025-01-19 0.001966 0.002376 0.002938 0.003822 0.005327 0.008220 0.016560
2025-01-26 0.001806 0.002187 0.002711 0.003541 0.004964 0.007742 0.016029
2025-02-02 0.001753 0.002141 0.002686 0.003571 0.005154 0.008486 0.020479
2025-02-09 0.001728 0.002133 0.002713 0.003687 0.005526 0.009803 0.030717
2025-02-16 0.001680 0.002088 0.002682 0.003702 0.005700 0.010722 0.043812
2025-02-23 0.001666 0.002091 0.002723 0.003843 0.006168 0.012794 0.102346
2025-03-02 0.001614 0.002039 0.002679 0.003838 0.006340 0.014169 0.328966
2025-03-09 0.001552 0.001968 0.002601 0.003763 0.006340 0.014970 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001528 0.001955 0.002615 0.003863 0.006796 0.018315 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001502 0.001936 0.002618 0.003943 0.007231 0.022572 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001451 0.001875 0.002547 0.003865 0.007211 0.024074 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001392 0.001800 0.002446 0.003719 0.006962 0.023574 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001359 0.001764 0.002411 0.003705 0.007107 0.026745 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001286 0.001663 0.002261 0.003438 0.006443 0.021906 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001265 0.001644 0.002250 0.003466 0.006688 0.025859 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001259 0.001647 0.002278 0.003577 0.007229 0.035616 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001238 0.001626 0.002261 0.003590 0.007458 0.043756 NaN